Why does heat affect participation?
There is still more to learn about exactly how prolonged heat affects participation in England, but there are several likely factors.
For some, particularly older adults and those living with long-term health conditions, exercising in high temperatures can become physically more demanding and may raise concerns about health and safety.
This means these groups, along with disabled people, may experience the greatest challenges during prolonged periods of heat - showing how the impact of extreme weather is unlikely to be felt equally.
Heat can also reduce opportunities to be active.
Outdoor spaces may become uncomfortable or unsafe to use, organised activities may be adapted or cancelled, and travel disruption can make it more difficult to reach facilities.
Even where opportunities remain available, motivation can change.
When daily life already feels harder because of heat, being active may feel less appealing or less manageable.
What does this mean for grassroots sport?
Let’s face it – the climate crisis is already affecting how sport is delivered.
Grassroots sport relies heavily on outdoor facilities, volunteers and community organisations.
Many clubs are already managing the impacts of flooding during winter only to face hard, dry pitches and prolonged periods of hot weather during the summer months.
Climate impacts already cost grassroots sport circa £320 million annually in repairs and lost income.
These effects are not distributed evenly, with more deprived communities often more exposed to climate hazards and with fewer resources to respond.
This reflects a broader picture emerging from our Horizon Scanning work: climate change is increasingly shaping when and where people engage in sport and physical activity.
More frequent extreme weather, alongside changing travel patterns and sustainability goals, is expected to influence participation over the coming years.
These findings suggest those longer-term trends are already beginning to play out.
The sector has adapted to changing patterns of participation before and high heat may become another long-term trend that influences how people choose to be active.
Understanding those changes early gives the sector the opportunity to adapt before they become embedded.
With action now, sport can become more resilient, inclusive and sustainable.
Building the evidence
Our data allows us to understand how people's experiences change as events unfold, rather than relying on reflection months later.
Capturing people's experiences immediately after periods of extreme heat has helped us to better understand who is most affected, how behaviours change and where adaptation may be needed.
If you'd like to explore the findings in more detail, our Activity Check-in interactive dashboard includes data on activity levels, motivation, attitudes and barriers to participation, alongside climate-related questions, for both adults and children and young people.
Looking ahead
Heatwaves are becoming a more familiar feature of life in England.
Climate change is no longer happening somewhere else or is an issue for the future. It is shaping experiences and behaviours today.
For the sport and physical activity sector, the challenge is understanding what this means for participation, who is most affected and how we respond.
By continuing to build our understanding of how weather influences participation, we can help the sector adapt to support everyone to be active safely, confidently and consistently in the years ahead.
If you'd like to share your experiences or explore the findings in more detail, we'd love to hear from you.